Exasperated police in Glasgow decided to rethink strategy.
They set up a violence reduction unit (VRU) guided by the
philosophy that violence is like a public health issue: Violent behavior
spreads from person to person. To contain it, you need to think in terms of
transmission and risk, symptoms and causes.
“You cannot arrest your way out of this problem,” said Niven
Rennie, director of the now-national Scottish VRU, a unit funded by the
government with a budget of $1.6 million this year.
Scottish police plucked ideas from the Cure Violence project
in Chicago, Boston’s Operation Ceasefire and Homeboy
Industries in Los Angeles, among other initiatives. They formed
partnerships with local teachers, doctors and social workers.
They didn’t abandon traditional policing. Shortly after
launching the VRU, police ratcheted up stop-and-search and successfully
campaigned for legislation that increased the maximum sentences for carrying a
knife. But increasingly, they emphasized the interruption and prevention of
violent behavior. They are intervening in hospitals, working with partners in
schools and helping former offenders get back to work.
Meanwhile, over the past decade, Glasgow has seen a 60 percent drop in homicides, and violent
crime in Scotland has fallen to historic lows.
The notion that the public health approach may have
contributed to the decline has brought officers from as far afield as Canada
and New Zealand to Glasgow to learn more.
And in London, where knife crime has risen by
50 percent in the past three years, Mayor Sadiq Khan recently announced the
creation of a violence reduction unit modeled on Scotland’s. “We have listened
and researched the public health approaches in cities like Glasgow, where their
own long-term approach over more than a decade has delivered large reductions
in violence,” the mayor said in a statement.
Researchers urge caution in assessing the impact of
Scotland’s program. They stress the difficulty of pinpointing and disentangling
the variables that influence crime rates.
“There are a lot of factors at play,” said Susan McVie, a
professor of criminology at the University of Edinburgh.
Scottish police have been “bold, they’ve been progressive in
a way that has not happened in the city of Glasgow before,” said Alistair
Fraser, a criminology lecturer at the University of Glasgow and author of a
book on gang
identity. Fraser said the VRU has been successful at changing the narrative
about crime, but he was hesitant about more concrete results. “There is a
general sense it’s a good thing,” he said, “but little in the way of hard
proof.”
The picture is complicated by statistics showing that crime
also has decreased in areas of Scotland where the VRU is not active. Other
possible explanations for the decline include anti-knife campaigns in Scottish
schools and a trend of young people spending more time at home and less
lingering on the streets.
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