We presented a nationally representative sample of 3,000
U.S. residents with eight possible policy responses to the outbreak, all of
which may be unconstitutional, including forced quarantine in a government
facility, criminal penalties for spreading misinformation, bans against certain
people entering the country, and conscription of health-care workers. We also
asked our sample to imagine that public-health officials had reviewed the
policies and estimated that each would likely save some number of lives,
hypothetical figures that we provided.
A majority of respondents supported
all eight of these policies, most by considerable margins. The proposals
with the lowest support were seizing businesses and banning all citizens and
noncitizens outside the country from entering, but these policies still had 58
and 63 percent support, respectively. The proposals with the highest levels of
support were banning noncitizens from entering the country (85 percent) and
conscripting health-care professionals to work despite risks to their own
health (78 percent). Both policies burden a defined minority of the population,
so it’s not surprising that large majorities support them. But criminalizing
speech based on its content, an idea antithetical to modern American
constitutionalism, was also very popular: About 70 percent of respondents
supported restricting people’s ability to say things that may qualify as
misinformation. Likewise, 77 percent of respondents support suspending all
religious services and gatherings, thereby restricting religious freedom. And
even when we explicitly told half of our sample that the policies may violate
the Constitution, the majority supported all eight of them—even the speech
restrictions.
Perhaps the most striking feature of our results is the
broad bipartisan endorsement of these liberty-restricting policies. Like other
surveys, ours reflected a huge gap between Democrats and Republicans in
approval of President Donald Trump’s handling of the pandemic: 34 percent of
Democrats expressed approval, while 88 percent of Republicans did. One might
have reasonably concluded that different policy preferences were driving these
responses: that Democrats want aggressive government intervention, which they
feel the president has failed to deliver, while Republicans—encouraged by
Trump’s early dismissal of the outbreak—prefer a wait-and-see or laissez-faire
approach.
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