Jeff Asher of Jeff-analytics writes:
The FBI released its annual report on crime providing the most comprehensive accounting of reported crime nationally last year. This year’s report comes on the heels of last year’s troublesome report which was made using complete data from around 60 percent of law enforcement agencies nationwide.
This year’s report is far improved because the FBI allowed non-NIBRS agencies to report basic crime statistics to inform the national estimates.
Murders fell 6.1 percent in 2022 after rising considerably in 2020 and 2021. This isn’t news for Jeff-alytics followers who may remember my writing on this a few times (like here and here). Still, now we can put a formal figure on the change in murder last year. The decline in murder in 2022 puts the nation’s murder rate below where it stood in 2020 (down about -3 percent), about 20 percent above where it was in 2019, and 35 percent below where it was in 1991. This year’s decline was the largest one-year percent decline since 2009 and the largest one-year decline in total murders since 1999. (UPDATE: I hadn’t initially noticed that the FBI increased 2020’s murder tally in this year’s report. The graphs have been updated to reflect that increase).
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